August 1, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Hero | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Young Corbett | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magi | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gumwrapper | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southsider | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Dave | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nofansinthestands | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grapevine | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juliaison | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jane’s Gold Tour | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Kingdoms | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Queen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First Squadron | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Constancia | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Magna | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Hey | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Express | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoppestry | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frontier Charlie | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Cookie Rule | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Mist | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Last General | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dom Caetano (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mango Tree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dastardly Deeds | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Mills | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magna Lee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | B G Attack | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Look Away | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Attack | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King’s Story | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Munch | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Pier | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Behavin Myself | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip the Smalltalk | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingsburry Attack | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Birdie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A P Blazing Green | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Eleventh Hour | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Hideaway | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overpraise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demand Ransom | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Givin Up None | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Upham | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jettin Out | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plus Chic | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Complicated | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clever Kitten | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ding Ding | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dressed | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mizhipzletus | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lizy D | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Force of Inertia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gwendola | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chacalosa | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet N Sassy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.