Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 1, 2021

August 1, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 High Hero 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Young Corbett 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Magi 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gumwrapper 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Southsider 1.80 4.7 9-1
6 6 Diamond Dave 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nofansinthestands 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Grapevine 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Juliaison 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Jane’s Gold Tour 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Seven Kingdoms 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tiz a Queen 3.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Squadron 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Constancia 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lady Magna 1.40 3 6-1
5 5 Hey Hey 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lady Express 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Hoppestry 3.50 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Frontier Charlie 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Two Cookie Rule 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 White Mist 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tom’s Last General 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dom Caetano (ARG) 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mango Tree 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dastardly Deeds 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Lake Mills 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Magna Lee 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 B G Attack 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Look Away 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dream Attack 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 King’s Story 5.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Munch 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Navy Pier 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Behavin Myself 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Skip the Smalltalk 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Kingsburry Attack 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cold Birdie 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 A P Blazing Green 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. Eleventh Hour 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Grand Hideaway 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Overpraise 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Demand Ransom 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Givin Up None 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Upham 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Jettin Out 4.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Plus Chic 3.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Simply Complicated 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Clever Kitten 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Ding Ding 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dressed 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mizhipzletus 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lizy D 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Force of Inertia 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gwendola 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Chacalosa 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Sweet N Sassy 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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