July 31, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Subject to Change | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepe and Heywood | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Thunder | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Josef Is Real | 0.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lifespan | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadow Boat | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Blessing | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Boss of You | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make It a Double | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Netti Girl | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronomes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday in L B C | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heavenly Trip | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buff Hello | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cool | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lockdown Larry | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Husband Material | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Traveler | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Being | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Alma North S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Precious | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paisley Singing | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hello Beautiful | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Call On Mischief | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bluefield | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Club Car | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aprilness | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trikki Nikki | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Claire’s Darling | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Abby Normal | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grand Skylark | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solea | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory March | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookin for Candy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Something | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Deputed Testamony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Michael | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Afoot | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harpers First Ride | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cordmaker | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Calling | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deceiving | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strolled On By | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack of Hearts | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lotsnlotsofchrome | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Left Blank | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Trip to Cairo | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tyler Time | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Le Peace Treaty | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipyourhattothat | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pauping | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Raeford | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Challedon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mucho | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lebda | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laki | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whiskey and You | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threes Over Deuces | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ink | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dialing Dixie | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Degas | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kickstarter | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightster Red | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Response | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.