Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 31, 2021

July 31, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Farm Boy 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Justice Warrior 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sette Stelle 1.80 4 8-1
1 1 Polin d’Oro 10.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Sweeney’s Cat 2.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Carson and I 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Joyful Surprise 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Blue Tequila 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Johnnie Got Jets 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Halfway Right 50.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Amor Lejano (ARG) 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tonalism 1.40 4.3 8-1
6 4 Hero Tiger 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Whyruawesome 3.50 4.9 9-1
9 7 Fundy’s Tide 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Unpublished 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 6 Fuzzy Irish Rascal 30.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Poseiden 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sir Kahn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Regal Holiday 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Venezuelan Triumph 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Eternal Rest 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Venezuela First 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Midnight Alibi 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Run Lea Run 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rio Hato 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 The Dungeon 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Picking Up Pennies 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Joshy Jak 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Famous Gent 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Paladio 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ensign Parker 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cowboy At Heart 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Absolute Grit 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kleon 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Sixty One 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Here Comes Bullet 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Samaronti 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Brett’s World 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Blakenstein 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Load Up Moe 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Macho Real 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Alperes 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Cattin 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Chromed Impulse 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 7 Whiskeyonhislips 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 4 Pork Chop 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Skipperini 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Chef Menteur 30.00 8.2 15-1
8 6 Danley 30.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Frosted Armour 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Magical Warrior 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dominant Joy 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ocean Safari 3.50 4 7-1
11 11 Anyquist 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Presencia 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Baby Blue 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 High Heaven 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Dolce Aprile 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Change Plans 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Kelsey’s Shot 15.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Kiss Upon a Star 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Roughly a Diamond 20.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Magic Surprise 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ranger Up 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Green Mansions 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Candy Crushem 2.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Doctor D J 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dark Ages 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Aycapote 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Taamer 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Mystical Moon 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 So Long Chuck 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Uhtred 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Keepsakekitten 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Big City Red 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 South Pointe Drive 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 9 No Getting Over Me 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Thorn 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Go Mike 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Exponential 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Mista Donzella 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Khozando 8.00 5 10-1
8 7 In Honor of Artie 30.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Divert 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Desert Vixen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Stone Beauty 4.50 2 4-1
3 2 Noble Dreamer 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 Silver Smile 3.50 3 6-1
11 8 Demurely 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 6 My Sassenach 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Rufa Red Knot 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 7 Ukiyo 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Soul Flight 20.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Royal Rocker 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rachel’s Rock 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Solar Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Plenum 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Officiating 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Lahinch 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Timmy M. 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Khozy My Boy 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Tellington 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Sassy But Smart 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Catching Fish 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Palemma 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Nacho Papa 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Gran Casique 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Dr. Fager S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Hope in Him 1.60 1.2 2-1
9 7 Dean Delivers 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Cajun’s Magic 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 6 Big and Classy 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Laki Lio 10.00 4 8-1
4 3 Merlin 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Gold Special 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Palimonium 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lightening Larry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Lagertha (CHI) 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 6 Choose Joy 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Reinagol 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 I Am the Boss 6.00 4.2 8-1
11 8 Nikee Kan 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sammy’s Town 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Bernie’s Mistress 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 Cat’s Astray 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Too Much Tip 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bramble Berry 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Avenida Manana 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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