July 31, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Farm Boy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justice Warrior | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sette Stelle | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polin d’Oro | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweeney’s Cat | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carson and I | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Surprise | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Tequila | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Johnnie Got Jets | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halfway Right | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonalism | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hero Tiger | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whyruawesome | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fundy’s Tide | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unpublished | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poseiden | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sir Kahn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Regal Holiday | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Venezuelan Triumph | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eternal Rest | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Venezuela First | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Alibi | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Lea Run | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rio Hato | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Dungeon | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Picking Up Pennies | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joshy Jak | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Famous Gent | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paladio | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ensign Parker | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy At Heart | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Grit | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kleon | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sixty One | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Here Comes Bullet | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samaronti | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brett’s World | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blakenstein | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Load Up Moe | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Real | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alperes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Cattin | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chromed Impulse | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Whiskeyonhislips | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pork Chop | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skipperini | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Chef Menteur | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Danley | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Armour | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Magical Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dominant Joy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Safari | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Anyquist | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Presencia | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Blue | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Heaven | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Aprile | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Change Plans | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kelsey’s Shot | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kiss Upon a Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Roughly a Diamond | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Surprise | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Up | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Mansions | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Crushem | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor D J | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Ages | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aycapote | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taamer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystical Moon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Long Chuck | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uhtred | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keepsakekitten | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Big City Red | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Pointe Drive | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | No Getting Over Me | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thorn | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Mike | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exponential | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mista Donzella | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Khozando | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Honor of Artie | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divert | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Desert Vixen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Stone Beauty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noble Dreamer | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Silver Smile | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Demurely | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | My Sassenach | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rufa Red Knot | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ukiyo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Soul Flight | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Rocker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rachel’s Rock | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Solar Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Plenum | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Officiating | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lahinch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Timmy M. | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Khozy My Boy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tellington | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy But Smart | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Catching Fish | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palemma | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Papa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gran Casique | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Dr. Fager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Hope in Him | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dean Delivers | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cajun’s Magic | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big and Classy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laki Lio | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Merlin | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gold Special | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palimonium | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lightening Larry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lagertha (CHI) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Choose Joy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reinagol | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | I Am the Boss | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Nikee Kan | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sammy’s Town | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bernie’s Mistress | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cat’s Astray | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Tip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bramble Berry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Avenida Manana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.