Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 30, 2021

July 30, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 What You Know 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Moonflash Ocean 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Fervant 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Benjamin Moore 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 This Candy Can 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Kool Ka Ching 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tempt Me Perri 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 World Class Perry 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bhr Go Jackie Go 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Apollitical Summer 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lil Kool Flash 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Lil Romance Wagon 2.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Lil Gabby J R 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mr Kool Rancherita 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ushouldbehere 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Eye of Rose 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Racy Kacey 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Rmlilkoolprincess 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Trs Justa Crazy Dale 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Loaded Resume 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 A Starry Starry Nite 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lil Kool Runaway 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Iris Cowboy Casanova 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Elbullseye 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Hail Yez Darlin 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Ka Butch Ka Bob 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Regal and Racy 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Quarterback Racy 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Macho Madness 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Pay Dirt 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ferric 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Private Truth 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pack’n Iron 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Biker Tim 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 East Moon Lake 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Foxy Ace 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tough Company 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Rancho Bargo 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Whata Perfect Day 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Woke Up Wild 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Firehorn 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Galactica 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Rebounder 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Fly First Class 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Loud N Proud 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 One Son of a Chief 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ready Rita 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Brazen Now 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Barlows Pride 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Bitten 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Friendly Foe 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Win for Fun 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lance Theater 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alan’s Argument 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Speakerofthehouse 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Limbo’s Promise 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sailor Chow 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Quana Dude 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Breakin Daylight 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Roll Out 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Malibu Mo 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bossy Moment 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Holdthatlove 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Social Circle 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Hush Y’all 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fancy Gi Gi 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ambitiously Placed 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sing Loud 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Who’s Big Daddy 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 It’s All About Joe 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Alittlebitoflime 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Halo Jax 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Mary’s Boy 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Pure Crystal 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Bottomless 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Mohawk Leonard 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 No Crutches 15.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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