Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 30, 2021

July 30, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Finnley’s Kitten 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Queen of Pompeii 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Beautiful Temple 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Powers Princess 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Slew South 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Our Miss Millie 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Warrens Candy Girl 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bango Ishernaymo 30.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Ela Calimera Mou 30.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Aristeia 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trip to Freedom 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mucha Woman 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 V Bucks 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Melting Snow 2.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Big Al’s Princess 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Starship Defiant 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Later Days 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 French Franc (FR) 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Zuboshi 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Wishing On a Star 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Topanga Canyon 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Candy On Top 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Kitten Calls 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Distorted Diva 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Macrelletta 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Urban 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sugar Sugar 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Taming the Tigress 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 I’m the Boss of Me 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Agreetodisagree 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 The Great Haynes 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Big Andy 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Pistachio Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Dancing Dana 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Elgofranco 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lena’s Big Day 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Unusual Ride 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Big Bell 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Momma Mocca 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Chao Mar 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Lake Flamingo 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sky On Ice 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Miss O’Brien 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Koko’s Mom 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Valentine Ghost 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Big Moon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Real Good Deal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Atomic Drop 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 None Above the Law 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 The Chosen Vron 1.20 3.1 6-1
3 3 Top Harbor 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Touchdown Brown 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Letsgetlucky 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Found My Ball 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Buzz 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Seven Charms 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Farquhar 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Liberal (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lure Him In 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Luvluv 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Stirling Drive 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Capital Call 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Cosmo 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Engram 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Rijeka (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sometimes Always 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Big Well 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Poseidon Wrath 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Bron and the Brow 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sirocco 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Paint Me Lucky 1.60 4.2 8-1
10 10 Careless Kitten 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Alarming Moment 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Call Nine One One 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Whistleblower 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
2nd - 4:40
Details
Final
Details
3rd - 0:50
Details
2nd - 0:00
Details
2nd - 0:00
Details
2nd - 0:00
Details
2nd - 6:47
Details
2nd - 6:47
Details
1st - 8:07
Details
Details
Go to Scoreboard