Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 29, 2021

July 29, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beat the Rush 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Moksgmol 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Divine Martha 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Show Some Skin 1.60 2.9 5-1
6 6 Toy Show 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Classy Vision 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 To Sing My Song 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Twick 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Louemma 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 Flat Out Fabulous 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 D’s Soul 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 I Am I Said 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Senorita Uno 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Real Chopper 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Willow 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Black Hills Bronco 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Preachlittlegospel 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Valuable Pillow 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mr Will 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 He’s a Topper 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Danielle’s Song 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Orbaline 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 La Bestia 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Delightful Dreamer 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rosa’s Soul 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 English Biscuit 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Don’t Smile Lilah 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 For My Elbi 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sparkisha 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Slashs Red Diamond 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonlight Rain 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Antigone 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Good to Me 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Biondetti’s Choice 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tiz My Right 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Vana Grand 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ami’s Link 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Line of Vision 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Sweet Shades 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Anita Grigio 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Naitaka 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Alternative View 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 7 Stormy Vision 4.50 5 9-1
9 8 Roche’s Point 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Echo in the Forest 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 La Bonita 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Penetanguishene 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Cherubic 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Northern Cross 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Ginny Bear 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Just Silent 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Queen Andher Court 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Natural Habitat 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 You Thrill Me 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Dynamic Contrast 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Echo Strike Again 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No More Fences 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Pemberley 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Cleomenes 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Shes the North 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Gospel Hill 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Moonlit Silence 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Koto 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Jolene Jolene 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Burlap 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Cedar Valley 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Practical Gizmo 20.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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