July 29, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beat the Rush | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moksgmol | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Martha | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Some Skin | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toy Show | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Vision | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | To Sing My Song | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twick | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louemma | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Fabulous | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D’s Soul | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Am I Said | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Uno | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Chopper | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Willow | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Hills Bronco | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Preachlittlegospel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valuable Pillow | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Will | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Topper | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danielle’s Song | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Orbaline | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Bestia | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Dreamer | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosa’s Soul | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | English Biscuit | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For My Elbi | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkisha | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slashs Red Diamond | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Rain | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antigone | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good to Me | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Biondetti’s Choice | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz My Right | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vana Grand | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ami’s Link | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Line of Vision | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Shades | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Grigio | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naitaka | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alternative View | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stormy Vision | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Roche’s Point | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Echo in the Forest | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Bonita | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Penetanguishene | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherubic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Northern Cross | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Ginny Bear | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Silent | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Queen Andher Court | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natural Habitat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | You Thrill Me | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dynamic Contrast | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Strike Again | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No More Fences | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pemberley | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cleomenes | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes the North | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Hill | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlit Silence | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Koto | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jolene Jolene | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burlap | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cedar Valley | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Practical Gizmo | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.