Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 29, 2021

July 29, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Spotted Bull 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mobeatyabad 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Annamated Moon 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 No Fly Zone 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Anzio Beach 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Expensive Style 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Just Enough 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Peculiarity 5.00 3.5 7-1
12 6 La Familia 4.00 4.5 8-1
11 5 Upcycle 12.00 6 11-1
5 2 Tak E Lady 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Why You So Cheap 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Likely Choice 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Zola B 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sassy Babe 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Travel Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Alaia Queen 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Jordin’s Surprise 20.00 10.2 19-1
9 4 Summer Sweetheart 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cowboy Mz 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Instigated 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 6 Toga Challenger 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Chief Exchanger 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 The Italian 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Iwishiwaspecial 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Commander’s Intent 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Street Shark 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 5 Seanow 2.00 2.9 6-1
1A 2 Arcadia Calls 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 3 Brooks Robinson 6.00 5 9-1
4 1 Hard Belle 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 4 Fizbo 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Baby Boomer 3.00 SCRATCH
2 4 Thorny Tale 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Wonder In 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 I Got a Rock 10.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Gold Rush Dancer 10.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Hello’ndubai 12.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Encrypted (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
11 13 Jammer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Flight Risk 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 You Are Awesome 4.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 True Grace 8.00 4 8-1
4 3 David’s Prospec 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Tappin for Glory 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bronxville 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Enkidu 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 6 Upper Crown 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Aldo’s Kitten 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Dr. Ann 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 2 Don’t Charge It 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 1 Sundrenched 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 4 Colonel Bailey 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 3 Hetty G. 15.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Uncle Mo’s Affair 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Alin Azul 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Janelle Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pride Leader 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rose of Dublin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Beautiful Wall 1.80 1.3 3-1
1A 6 Thundershook 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Youngest of Five 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 The Right Path 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Fortunate Friends 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Federal Case 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 7 El Samuro 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maliciosa 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Joyce G. 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Monkey On My Back 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Stillher 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Commission Actress 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Enough Kisses 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Normalizeddeviance 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Miami Gold 15.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Miss Svengail 15.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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