Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Jess Southard 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Jess Candy Wagon 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Storman Norman 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Sabbatical Jess 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Absolution by Fire 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Valtrata 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Docs Best Legend 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Easy Separatist 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Juice Is Loose 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tf Kates Tlc 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Legends On Fire 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lovepop 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hes a Kingman 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Flying Jessie Girl 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Str Forged in Fire 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Watch Me Clock Doc 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Tell Her Hes Candy 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ba First Class Hero 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Casanovas Doll 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Lokke Louie 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Favorite Gold Bar 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Big N Rick 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Random Affair 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Akhnas 1.20 2.1 4-1
2 2 Make My Year 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 My Fortunate Son 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Nomoremrniceguy 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Coyote Den 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cool Catomine 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Post Close 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Promising Shoes 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Unleash the Beast 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Driven to Compete 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Munnycantbuymelove 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cyclone Sorority 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 My Golden Day 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ransomed 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 2 Wicked Flashback 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Nocturnal Mission 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Wild Munny 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hidden Ruler 0.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Pickford 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Stephen’s Answer 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Big Barrel 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Union Station 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tashkent 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Firecracker Stand 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Haley’s Steelman 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Candy’s Little Tip 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Kaluga Bob 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Driver 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Crafty Heat 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Dazzling Diablo 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ship Boss 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Cowboy Casanova 6.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Time Goes On 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Jaysker 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Justa Streak 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sir Eli 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Lord of the Palace 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Launched 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Snap’n Tap 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 New Gospel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Samira 4.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Delusion 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Freeia Tap 4.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Tapit’s Lady 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Centerfold 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 I Think I Know You 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Remittance Sent 10.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Blaze Away N Hide 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bigmoneyhunny 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Prairie Fireball 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Cold as You 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Simmering 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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