Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pat’s Factor 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Clever and Great 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Gallinipper 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Stand My Ground 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Fused 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Mo American 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rip It 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Irishman 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Broadway Melody 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Webb 6.00 5 10-1
3 3 Fax 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Antipoison 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rush Delivery (IRE) 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Unorthodox 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Le Peace Treaty 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tauber 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kwist 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Jammin Still 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dr. Rusty Raymond 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Warm Sunny Breeze 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Alpha Chi Rho 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gleaming Sword 1.80 1.3 2-1
10 10 Lost Uncle 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Smitten Enough 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hair of the Dog 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Divine Proportion 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Papa Lew 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Baltimore Bud 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Flash Is Back 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Lil Majesty 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Irish Lion 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Raven Rahy 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Doobiedoobiedoobie 1.40 1.8 3-1
7 6 Frankee Merch 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Fast Cash 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Amen Corner 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Truth Serum 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Swing Your Sword 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 New York One 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lady Magica 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Eifs 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Buff’s in Love 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Take Charge Tina 6.00 5 9-1
12 11 Polished Gal 15.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Caterina One 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Algodonal 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Bodes Sunset 20.00 6.2 12-1
13 12 Bustin Hearts 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Princess Killmain 20.00 9 17-1
10 9 R True Sensation 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Scarlet Tanager 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Weather Wiz 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Solomonic 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Rough Sea 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 My Good Man 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Closer Look 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Clubman 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tusk 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Love Dust 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Field Truffle 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Dew Dat 0.60 2.8 5-1
6 6 Alluring Rumba 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lady Tizmo 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Broadway Trouper 12.00 4.6 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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