Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bobby Bo 1.20 1.2 2-1
1 1 Who’s the Star 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Risk and Reward 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mariners Way 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Affable 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Prince Ziggy 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Drink the Wind 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Murray 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 6 Barossa 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sumter 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Carbonite 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Clampett 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Katonah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hot Box 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Gates of Heaven 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Gator Shining 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lovesick Blues 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Exhalting 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cibertruck 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ashley’s Valentine 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Crossword 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Awesome Beach 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Minehunter 15.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Carpe Donum 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Major Cabbie 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Alexandros 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Littlebitamedal 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bibleman 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Colosi 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Buttered Noodles 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Liam’s Pride 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 El Chavo Del Ocho 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 California Street 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Deise Delight (IRE) 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Suki 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Unbreakable 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Sweet Devil 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Viazar 6.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Cinnte Winnte (IRE) 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Little Miss Ellie 8.00 7 13-1
9 8 Basilia 12.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 Smoothlikebuttah 15.00 8.6 16-1
12 11 Lookin So Lucky 20.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Cheerful Charm 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Daddy’s Girl 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Thirsty Chapo 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Medina Man 4.00 3 6-1
12 10 Last Renegade 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 I’m Winning 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Big Swede 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 City of Champions 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Gemini Bay 15.00 7 13-1
9 7 Awesome Curlin 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 8 Toasted At Dawn 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Socal Red 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Always Litt 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sauls Call 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Floyd Knowles 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Daisycutter H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Querelle 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bulletproof One 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Superstition 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Constantia 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Bruja Escarlata 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Rakassah (IRE) 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Five Pics Please 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Gypsy Spirit (GB) 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Never for Money 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Lenzi’s Lucky Lady 20.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Sadie Bluegrass 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Acting Out 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Canadian Pride 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Howbeit 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Colt Fiction 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Fashionably Fast 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Parsimony 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tiger Dad 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Darnquick 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Surfing Star 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – California Dreamin’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 North County Guy 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Indian Peak 8.00 2 4-1
9 9 Brandothebartender 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Ward ‘n Jerry 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Desmond Doss 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Margot’s Boy 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Wound Tight 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Galilean 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Unbridled Ethos 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Secret Club 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Dynamite Queen 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Can Fly 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 B’esame Me Mucho 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Rowangoeshollywood 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Phoenix Tears 5.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Kind But She Lies 3.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Grigoro 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Siena Silk 12.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Backtoflash 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 See You At the Top 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Cameo Shores 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Twirly Girl 30.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Irish Soul 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Slewpys Last Song 30.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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