Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 24, 2021

July 24, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bellaspina 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Little Miss Cat 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Humble Beginnings 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Pesaro 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 The Twelfth 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Outclass 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sea Fret 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Meet the Tenor 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Silent Fire 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 War Bomber (IRE) 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Funiculi 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Righteous Robbie 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Abstemious 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Adelaide Court 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Magic Conquest 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Carrobio 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Super Duper 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Is There a Forest 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Seamialaugh 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hit and Run 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 La Princessa Polly 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Quiet Ascot 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Divine Genesis 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wave Baby 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Artie’s Storm 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Maximus Momentus 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tycoon 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Meyer 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fifth Season 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 British Royalty 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Exceed 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Dancers Ghost 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Green Fleet 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Have a Souper Day 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Kid Forester 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Jacobs Call 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mr Narcissistic 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Better Boogie 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Secret Reserve 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Keen Samurai 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 King of Awesome 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Itmakesmewonder 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Nassau S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Abscond 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Honey Cake (IRE) 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Crystal Glacier 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Another Time 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Our Secret Agent 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Abby Hatcher (IRE) 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Tappitty Tappitty 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Sunset Kiss (GB) 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Merveilleux 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Saratoga Vision 20.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Royal Wedding 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Souper Watson 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Giant Critic 4.50 3 6-1
2 1 There’s No Joe 1.80 3.4 6-1
8 7 Lucas n’ Lori 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Shangassah 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Accessible 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Tricky Magician 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Matinee 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mambointheforest 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Veloce 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Detroit Steel (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Money Printer 1.80 1.1 2-1
1 1 Hit the Point 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Opus North 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Enchant Me 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Go Take Charge 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Spike 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Zephyrtizer 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Art of Almost 0.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Oceans of Love 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Gun Society 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Afleet Katherine 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Silent Tango 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 A Broken Breeze 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Stop Who’s That 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Beyond My Dreams 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Tourist’s Dream 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jelgo 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Benlion 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 8 Star Scholar 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Verrazano Legacy 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Pride and Passion 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Wenjack 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Doc Fishman 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Dr. Green 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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