July 24, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King Nekia | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Predicament | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Eddard Stark | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Freedom | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quad Eights | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapsasional | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Divine Interventio | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Storming My Way | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Americano | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rattlesnake Ridge | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Striking Heir | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inside Risk | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Won Dozen Banks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Salsa’s Return | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cerulean Springs | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empty Nestr | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Him With Him | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hit the Ticket | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Mas Grande | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Political | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Neighborhood Bully | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Flat Out Flying | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exotic Cat | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Three Coins | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Arrest Warrant | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Construe | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ides of March | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Flat Out Phoebe | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farcical | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steely Band | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paolla Kisses | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fyvie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mayfield of Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | La Smarty | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baby Gundin | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laobanonaprayer | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sense a Million | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Dance Fever | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intrepid Dream | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonetta | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Home Dixie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Maestria | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | California Bella | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Boss | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shemademelucky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Liking It Twisted | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Helluva Lady | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Frontier | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | It Is What It Is | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Tap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gold Dragon Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Expensive Gift | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unrequited Love | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danessa Baby | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flirtatious Lass | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Nineteen | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bound for Broadway | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dominating Buyer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Castilleja | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Grace | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Best Cause | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Verbien O. P. | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Bon Fire Diva | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mi Casimira | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Aly Did It | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Debbie’s Treasure | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tinas Shining Star | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Mama G’s Wish | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Estilo Diferente | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Luckbealadytonight | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Misspoken | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.