July 23, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Another Breeze | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saint’s Rest | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Exit | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Put a Hemi in Her | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Highland Jax | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gizmo Rogers | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Working the Table | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grapes | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orphan Hallie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Liquid Louie | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sundance Hit | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Polydeuces | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Capture the Ride | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Ladies’ Man | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tracking Gold | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frac Attack | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Countryside Drive | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charles Street | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denmark | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strike the Top | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Wok N Roll | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Oath | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seguimi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tallestofthetall | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Franco’s Honour | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preacher Power | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redoute’s Light | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gottoknowrightnow | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Souper Cohiba | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Samuel H | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breathlessnthesand | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | St. Paddy’s Daddy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Birchmount Rd | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paperback Hero | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Undefiled | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready At Dawn | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strong Attitude | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I Have Hope | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letting Loose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Verrazano Bridge | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inthewinnerscircle | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Dream | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sansa’s Vow | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Director’s Cut | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs Frankel (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speightstown Shirl | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tempereya | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gloriannia | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ann of Cleves | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Say Hey (FR) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caira | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blueyed Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tragically Quewick | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spite Store | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Pond | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | View From Egbert | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie’s Pride | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chunky Monkey | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Mavrik | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Core | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dominant Factor | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maverick Man | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liverpool Man | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Eddie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Executive Giant | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of Gypsies | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arquebus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Journey | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carl G | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downy Boy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bachelor Pad | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yola | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Torpedo Max | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mia’s Extortionist | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bala Falls | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Robusto | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double the Heart | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bon Prix | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Edition | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash of Silver | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hardy Candy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.