Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 23, 2021

July 23, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Another Breeze 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Saint’s Rest 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 No Exit 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Put a Hemi in Her 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Highland Jax 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Gizmo Rogers 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Working the Table 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Grapes 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Orphan Hallie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Liquid Louie 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Sundance Hit 3.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Polydeuces 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Capture the Ride 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 My Ladies’ Man 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Tracking Gold 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Frac Attack 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Countryside Drive 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Charles Street 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Denmark 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Strike the Top 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Awesome Wok N Roll 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sacred Oath 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Seguimi 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Tallestofthetall 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Franco’s Honour 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Preacher Power 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Redoute’s Light 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Uno Champ 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 10 Gottoknowrightnow 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Souper Cohiba 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Samuel H 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Breathlessnthesand 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 5 St. Paddy’s Daddy 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Birchmount Rd 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Paperback Hero 10.00 3.4 6-1
11 10 Undefiled 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ready At Dawn 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Strong Attitude 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 I Have Hope 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Letting Loose 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Verrazano Bridge 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inthewinnerscircle 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 She’s a Dream 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sansa’s Vow 8.00 3.2 6-1
12 11 Director’s Cut 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mrs Frankel (IRE) 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Speightstown Shirl 2.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tempereya 12.00 5 9-1
11 10 Gloriannia 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ann of Cleves 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Say Hey (FR) 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Caira 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Blueyed Princess 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tragically Quewick 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Spite Store 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Long Pond 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 View From Egbert 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Jackie’s Pride 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Chunky Monkey 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Red Mavrik 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Core 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dominant Factor 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Maverick Man 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Liverpool Man 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Afleet Eddie 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Executive Giant 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 King of Gypsies 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Arquebus 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Personal Journey 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carl G 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Downy Boy 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bachelor Pad 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Yola 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Torpedo Max 6.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Mia’s Extortionist 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Bala Falls 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Robusto 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Double the Heart 15.00 5.9 11-1
13 13 Bon Prix 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Spring Edition 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Flash of Silver 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Hardy Candy 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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