Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 23, 2021

July 23, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kick in the Gas 3.00 2.4 5-1
10 8 Campeador 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Sette Stelle 4.50 4 8-1
5 4 Sweeney’s Cat 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Staten Island 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Martin Fierro 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 7 Halfway Right 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Finding Mischief 30.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Gigantic 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Khocu 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hard Ten 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Starship Blanca 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Gran Reserva 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 3 My Miss Miracle 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Hurricane Breeze 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Liesel 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Silver Package 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Manuela 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gamble’s Orb 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ultimate Breeze 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Mirth ‘n Merriment 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Only Time 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Basking 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Amazin Queen 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Novelera 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Beyond Heavenly 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 1 I’m a Coco Pebbles 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 2 Pretty Rachel 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 4 Lovin Livin 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Everthree 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Elliereeseaston 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Viva La Reina 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 9 Swing West 2.00 4 8-1
6 5 Bray 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Everyonelovesjames 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Rocket Joe Copper 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Go Poke the Bear 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Ambassador Jim 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Areyoutalkingtome 20.00 5.6 11-1
14 8 Souper Jaguar 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 7 Tenacity Zip 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 High Noon Rider 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Harbour Master (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sharm El Sheikh 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Farley 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Uhtred 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jojo’s Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mr. Cesco 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Awesome Annmarie 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Liza Star 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 R Prerogative 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Merseyside 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Pens Street 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Domineering 12.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Kitodan 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Winging It 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 More Adventurous 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Pharaoh’s Prophecy 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Fivefive Six Champ 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 October Time 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Nepoti 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Panadero 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Whiterose Jewel 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bolt From the Blue 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bailey 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Star Juancho 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 The Ice Beast 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Resident 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 One Fast 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Free Flay 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 First Rule 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 9 Lunar Blast 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 5 My Beauty Princess 4.00 3.5 7-1
12 8 Art Rock 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Miranda Sofia 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 7 Sierra Gold 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Cidstayinurlaine 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Exaggerated Moment 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 6 Sugar On Top 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Yamboree Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Learnt 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) 1.40 SCRATCH
13 13 Fabiola Princess 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 May Beau 30.00 10.6 20-1
10 7 Backstretchbeauty 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
1st - 12:20
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2nd - 5:38
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2nd - 13:25
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2nd - 10:00
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2nd - 0:54
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1st - 6:08
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3:09 2nd
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8:44 2nd
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