Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 23, 2021

July 23, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 We All Agree 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Your Ringer 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Seven Exes 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Blame It On Rose 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 I’m a Giraffe 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Areeb 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jacrodra’s Devil 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Muay Thai (IRE) 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Vantage Point 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Man Friday 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Optimistic Valor 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Capper 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Enough Nonsense 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Stone’s River 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Cumberland Avenue 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Eight Makar 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Vaporized 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Honorary Degree 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Union Bliss 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Test Drive 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 The Roan Ranger 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mad Catter 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sir Flatter 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Little Mischief 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bold Endeavor 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Family Biz 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Order and Law 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Azul Coast 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Shadrack 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Union Dance 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Taishan 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rookie Year 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Man On the Moon 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Chasing Fame 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tribal Nation 5.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Twilight Rider 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tacoflavoredkisses 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Mount Pelliar 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Language Barrier 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Launch Pad 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Distant Vista (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Commander (FR) 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Tilted Towers 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lieutenant Dan 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Thanks Mr. Eidson 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Fight On 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Love My Jimmy 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Rager 10.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Citrus Burst 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Teddy’s Barino 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fi Fi Pharoah 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Closing Remarks 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 I’m So Anna 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Respectfully 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Eddie’s New Dream 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Joymaker 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Wishtheyallcouldbe 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Amazen Grazen 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Really Big News 2.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Donner Lake 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Henchman 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wilder Than Most 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Talklessworkmore 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Harbor Sky 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Tiger’s Arrow 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Eagle in the Sky 3.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Club Mesquite 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 New Soi Phet 30.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Auspicious Style 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Larry’s Legend 30.00 9 17-1
13 13 Tallemark 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Just About Enough 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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