July 22, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mezquite | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Five Bar Sweet Look | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gpf Lawman | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eyesa Rapid Train B | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louie B Quick | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rf One Famous Blue | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mp Special Country | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Sugar Shack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gbh Heza Zippin | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway With Mee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jumpin Salty | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carry On Cuervo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lomachenko | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Sayin Adios | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dd Cricket | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pips Caliente | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dont Doc Daisy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shez Inseperable | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Britt | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freighttrain Game | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lota Choochoo | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Without Question | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flawless Streaker | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous One | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jla Indy Rogue | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shez Going All Royal | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ms Better Be | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | What a Grand Moment | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jess Tailor | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Farm Boss | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Corona Chick | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jl Eyesa Jess Playin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fabulous Mamie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Margaret | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hezas Sin Tachas | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Another Diamond | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamin of a Jet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Heza Louisiana Man | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rf Fearless Jet | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Risen Patriot | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | You Bet Rhett | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jla Double Down Dash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Shes Jess So Special | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lett It Happen | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jrs Sweet Outlook | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Adore My Runaway | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gt N Boos Runaway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Uno Ima Fury | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Intriguing Blue | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grace of Monaco | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gias Fred | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carolines Rocket | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tf Thrilling Runaway | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ec Fama | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tee Forest | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mulato Fortune | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Blue Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Desvelado | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patriot Fireworks | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tinas Runaway Train | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mp Faster Jumpn | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashaway Royal | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ekg Shezthelastdash | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pk Sugar Daddy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Timber | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Bahia Beach | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Run a Lot | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Featuring Fast Jess | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taylor Made Cartel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatahistoric Moment | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Politics Here | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Fast Perry | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Rebels Secret | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jetblue Dash | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fantasticazoom Jr | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jess Liam Behind | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valentina Delight | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mp Dancing Star | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runnin Tee Cos | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jl Dashing Cartel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pullthetriggertiger | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Black Perry | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jessa Fast Romance | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nbc Yalitza Jet | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take the Fasttrain | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.