Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 22, 2021

July 22, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Mezquite 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Five Bar Sweet Look 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Gpf Lawman 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Eyesa Rapid Train B 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Louie B Quick 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Rf One Famous Blue 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Mp Special Country 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Mi Sugar Shack 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gbh Heza Zippin 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Runaway With Mee 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Jumpin Salty 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Carry On Cuervo 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lomachenko 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Jess Sayin Adios 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dd Cricket 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Pips Caliente 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dont Doc Daisy 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shez Inseperable 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Angel Britt 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Freighttrain Game 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lota Choochoo 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Without Question 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Flawless Streaker 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Marvelous One 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Jla Indy Rogue 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Shez Going All Royal 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Ms Better Be 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 What a Grand Moment 2.50 2 4-1
8 7 Jess Tailor 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Heza Farm Boss 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Forever Corona Chick 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jl Eyesa Jess Playin 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Fabulous Mamie 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Fabulous Margaret 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Hezas Sin Tachas 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Another Diamond 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Dreamin of a Jet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Heza Louisiana Man 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Rf Fearless Jet 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Risen Patriot 3.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 You Bet Rhett 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Jla Double Down Dash 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Shes Jess So Special 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Lett It Happen 15.00 7.1 14-1
6 5 Jrs Sweet Outlook 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Adore My Runaway 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Gt N Boos Runaway 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Uno Ima Fury 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 King Intriguing Blue 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Grace of Monaco 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Gias Fred 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Carolines Rocket 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Tf Thrilling Runaway 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Ec Fama 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Tee Forest 15.00 7 13-1
3 2 Mulato Fortune 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Louisiana Blue Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Desvelado 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Patriot Fireworks 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Tinas Runaway Train 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mp Faster Jumpn 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dashaway Royal 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Ekg Shezthelastdash 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Pk Sugar Daddy 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Blue Timber 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 One Bahia Beach 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Sir Run a Lot 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Featuring Fast Jess 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Heza Bell Perry Jr 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Taylor Made Cartel 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Whatahistoric Moment 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 No Politics Here 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 One Fast Perry 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 A Rebels Secret 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Jetblue Dash 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Fantasticazoom Jr 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jess Liam Behind 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Valentina Delight 1.80 3.1 6-1
10 10 Mp Dancing Star 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Runnin Tee Cos 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Jl Dashing Cartel 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Pullthetriggertiger 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Jess Black Perry 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Jessa Fast Romance 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Nbc Yalitza Jet 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Take the Fasttrain 20.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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