Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 22, 2021

July 22, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kinda Lucky 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 5 World Party 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Lucky Lorraine 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Belle of the North 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Cajole 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Bellswillberinging 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mountain Lilly 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Oldfashioned Club 1.40 1.9 4-1
5 4 My Friend Linus 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Kierland 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Itgot Grandma 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Blue Danube 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Flatexcel 1.40 SCRATCH
2 3 Appraised 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 B B Bad 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 2 Onehandsomedude 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Minecrafter 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Xy Time 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Valiant Gabe 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rebel Empire 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Herecomesthehammer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Melodious Singer 1.50 2 4-1
7 7 Rica Chica 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 R Averie Lynn 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Frosted Angel 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Miner’s Gem 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fred’s Sheila 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Moon Me Again 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Talks in Her Sleep 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mahkato 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Better With Age 3.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Maliceinthepalace 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Beautiful Tiz 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Joanie’s Sunset 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Kelcie’s Mandate 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Rooney 20.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Brooksley 20.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Hello Rosie Say 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 So Who’s Back 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Maryland’s Miracle 20.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Personal Server 30.00 11.8 22-1
7 7 Ocean Delight 30.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Thurman Merman 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Vegas Life 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Frost’s Song 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 La Lluvia 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Seven Plus Seven 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Incensed 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Scotty Silver 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Indoctrinate 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Other Things Equal 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Trouble Coffee 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Saint Marco 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 I Am That I Am 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Winston Pegg 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Speed Game 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Centerfoldprospect 10.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Desert Tone 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Grandmary 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 My Lucky Heart 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 McLucy 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Catirusia 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Mystical Charge 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Offlee Graysful 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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