Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 20, 2021

July 20, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Beeboo 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 J Wass 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dreaming Thousand 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Brazen 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Racehorseinared 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Uncle Manny 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 I Saw It All 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sexyama 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Juliet’s Music 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Reigning Fire 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Positive Force 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Dona Camile 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Bryce’s Philly 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bangle Gal 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Above Par 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 4 Capital Q 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Corn Off the Cob 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 6 Blunt Force 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Bucks Some 6.00 3 6-1
2 1 Zensational Dixie 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 She’smysunshine 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Karabessa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 S Man 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 2 Kolohe Prince 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 5 A Gray for Carolyn 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 4 Call Me G Q 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Maybe After Later 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Ouch Ouch Ouch 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Our Uncle Drew 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Hope for Gold 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cruise Control 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jama Dillon 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 North Yorkshire 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lorden’s Love 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Fillupcohensapiker 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Hay Buck 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tokyo 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sugar Streak 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 What About Tonight 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Rose of Dublin 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sweet Blame 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 Rated Special 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 3 Couch Dreams 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 4 Stonegate 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 5 Diesel 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 1 Johnny Wishbone 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 2 Judicial Restraint 10.00 6.6 12-1
11 7 Peter G. Fox 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Shiloh Lane 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Noble Callisto 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Hard Count 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bridlecrest 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Advocate Harbor 3.50 1 2-1
9 7 Snappy Ride 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Seven Years Later 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hold Me Closer 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Bellita 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 I’ll Go All In 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Fiftyshadesofrun 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Pink Vodka 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Mecedora Coming 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Charly’s Choo Choo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sevier 1.20 2.3 4-1
1 1 Getoffmyback 4.50 4.4 8-1
10 7 Big Bad Bud 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 4 Hard West 15.00 6 11-1
9 6 Five More Minutes 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 5 Monteleone 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 King’s House 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Regal Quality 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 D T Goodie 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Genghis 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oxana 1.20 1.3 2-1
2 2 Victoria E 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tiz Gracie 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Philadelphia Belle 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Solid Gold Dancer 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Tapit’s Girl 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Enough Love 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Scarlet Lily 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Let’s Celebrate 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Corbally 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 6 Ms Canela 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Beautiful Estrella 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 La Altenita 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Wrote to a Diva 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Oath of Solitude 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 True Trinni 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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