Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 19, 2021

July 19, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Corona Ken 1.20 1.4 3-1
4 4 Lil Sister 1.40 1.8 3-1
3 3 Villegas La Capo 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Her Lips Are Sealed 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Jess for Your Lady 10.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lanies Star Dancer 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Oh So Valiant 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Class E Cartel 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Roses for a Princess 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lil Latin Lupe Lou 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Papa Vaquero 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smart N Intuitive 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Molleck 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Iowa Native 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Larch 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Gio Nasty One 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dazzl’n Mischief 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Marquee Thunder 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Flatout Winner 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Pasamonte Man 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Carouse 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Five O One 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sun Squall 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rebel Rising 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Clever Lil Sis 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Girolamo Lucy 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Picture Lady 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sloopy Hang On 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Queen of the Ship 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 New Gospel 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Lucky D 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Stormin’ J. J. 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Kellen Cash 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Oscar Winner Wally 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Thisboy’sacowboy 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sabreen 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 La Tourista 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Heatin Up 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Maggie Mae 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Smoking Bossa Nova 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Street Ringer 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Spinning Year 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 New Year’s Chic 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Sweet Holiness 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Wicked Chocolate 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Battle Hero 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Impact Player 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bitumen 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lookin for Eight 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Knight Commander 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tappin Fora Dance 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Warrior’s Lullaby 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Mr. Shapoor 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Topper T 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Circuit Rider 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Storm the Field 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Applicant 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 One Bad Dude 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cantwaittograduate 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Masterofmatrimony 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Off Again On Again 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Comegetsome 10.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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