July 19, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dennard | 1.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aladdin Sane | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring River | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Magic | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Officer Matute | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forefront | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Winterthur | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodacious Blend | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celestial Diva | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross the Mersey | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Boots | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Justice | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prince Pere | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cairo Campaign | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miami Crockett | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothing Better | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Nekia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Xmasinthecity | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showtime Cat | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Song for Arch | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Holy Saint | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mice and Men | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | G Daddy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Go Go | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Perfetto | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kevin Witte | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Fooling Dude | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Instigated | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Union Gen. George | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Redeem Peter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Undaunted Rags | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Auchincruive | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Ocean Deep | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Remember Hymn | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Twister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Golden Tone | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Irish Lion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Fulgurant | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sunny Saint | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Out of Towner | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Notorious Rey | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Luv the Painter | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Belle Tapisserie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopeful Treasure | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Rhythm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’ Rapper | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jeopardy James | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Shelby | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singlino | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Equal Justice | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking It Lucky | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Officer Country | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fortyeightstraight | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torres Del Paine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Pat’s Factor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seville Row | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vicarage | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Time Operator | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hail Southern | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lucian | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia Pines | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Addicted to Chaos | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crabs N Beer | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Epic Luck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buster Bruno | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | All for Love | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Uncaptured Spirit | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dontforgettoblink | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Under the Radar | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somethingandchange | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mineshaft Magic | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marketability | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mikey’s Jewel | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That Is Key | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Car Lady | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paolla’s Heart | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donnameup | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.