Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 17, 2021

July 17, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pop a Choc 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Beyond Mybudget 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 La Croix Valmer 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Twirling Faith 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 She’s Got Moves 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pilot Episode 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Monastery Lane 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Post to Post 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Cheeky Pint 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Alice’s War 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Close Image 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Yes Please 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Bossalina 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Crumlin Time 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Line of Vision 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Tiz My Right 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ballade S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Sav 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 Summer Sunday 5.00 3 6-1
4 2 Golden Vision 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Spanish Ballerina 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Ishiyaya 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Artie’s Princess 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leave It With Me 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Valley Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Rolling Sloan 3.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Anita Grigio 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Go Gigi Go Gigi Go 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Cefalo 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 I Am I Said 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Enhanced Finance 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Silent Mamba 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Tara Dawn 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sol Dorado 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Avie’s Boss 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Mrs. Barbara 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Miss Naha Te 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Goldstorm Glory 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sweet Bombolini 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Now Is a Breeze 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Sneaky Rebel 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Baksheesh 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 All Canadian 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Souper Hot 4.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 Red Frog 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Red Fiction 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Speedy Bolt 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Four Aces High 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Rockcrest 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sunspear 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Dragon’s Brew 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Yzerman 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Last American Exit 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Justleaveitalone 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Livin in the Six 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Richies Noble Girl 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Silent Causeway 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Meet the Soprano 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Pipestone 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Enchanted Lady 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Artie’s First Kiss 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gizmo’s B F F 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fiduciary (GB) 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Roman d’Oro 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Fly So Pretty 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Hell N Wild 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Juxtapose 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Peace Seeker 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Lucky Polly 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Fact Checking 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Nantucket Red 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Jeannie’s Beepbeep 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Frosty Breeze 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beyond Borders 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Lake Shore Drive 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Azzurro 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Expo 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Racing in the Rain 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Just Start Me Up 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Battle of Yorktown 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Juan Pablo 2.00 2 4-1
2 1 Holyfield 2.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Peace of Ekati 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Canadian Pharoah 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Cerrado 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Suitedconnected 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Prideofdistinction 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fire Knight 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Boxer Brief 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Union Colonel 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Twirling Moon 10.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 High Heat 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Trebuchet 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Greyshott 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Deliberate 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Souper River 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Truecrest 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Dawson Silver 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 One Punch Charlie 30.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 I’m Dashing 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hullabaloo 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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