Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 17, 2021

July 17, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kiss Me in the Snow 1.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Runawa Renee 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Rnc Cardshark Jones 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Celtic Queen 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Jasmine Cartel 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Vf Zulu Monster 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Kiss a Little More 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Df Fabulous Coco Ia 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Cartel Prince 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Ts Wave as I Fly Bye 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ka Butch Ka Bob 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fly Bo Dash 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Ridley On the Run 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Miss Kool Wagon 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Quarterback Racy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Trs Jessa Little Ali 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Keokuk S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vf Politics N Chicks 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 A Valiant Diamond 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Chicks With Coronas 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Jk Wildcat Red 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Hooked On a Win 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ferrari James 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Hr Storm On In 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Jess Make a Mark 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Dream Dynasty 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flatoutandfoxy 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Mostly Awesome 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Matt’s Honey 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mean Erika 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Social Circle 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Brillant Mind 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Net Gain 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Minecraft Maniac 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Kauai 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Chacha Real Smooth 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Irish Wind 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Uncle Chad 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blank It 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 I’m River 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Alan’s Argument 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Driven to Compete 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Recount 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Corrana En Limen 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Winning Moment 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Stallion Filly Stakes S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Angel’s Melody 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Shesabidformidable 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Victory Bolt 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bobbin Tail 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Dixieland Candy 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sassy Ain’t I 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Atlantis Alana 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bull Hollow 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 River Echo (GB) 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Newport Beach 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Downtowner 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Principe Guilherme 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Cashanova 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Pinson 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Iowa Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sir Wally Wally 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Number One Dude 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 My Bobby McGee 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Apollo Bay 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Chinlee 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Cool Cat Charlie 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Oscar Winner Wally 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chicks Dig Scars 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 East Moon Lake 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Shades of Glory 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mafia Don 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Mr. B. G.’s Creed 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Private Truth 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 The Greatest Eagle 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Prairie Squall 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Tuff Willy Te 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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