July 17, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Delightfullywicked | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever and Great | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paint Music for Me | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manklin Creek | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Ron | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Al Brown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | T Minus Ten | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Order for Porky | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One Two Kid | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Semper Fi | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Delaware Destroyer | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. d’Angelo | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | So Dialed In | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U S Constitution | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Irish Riviera | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Galatians | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ghost Stalker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stevethevandriver | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Not Slow | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wessington Springs | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cash Flowing | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontcrossfuzzy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E. P. Milton | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Local Motive | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ordinary Girl | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heart of Secrets | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapdancing Girl | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Melody | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spanikopita | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nicolar | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toss a Coin | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rona | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Tourist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Is the Way | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Birthday Wish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bestla | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McElmore Avenue | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Thundershook | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McCain | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clubman | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apostle | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Friends Beer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Halite | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factor In | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Choir | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Look What I Found | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unshakable U | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Babe | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Thyme | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tunnel Strike | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Potion | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Bettina | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fire in the Hole | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Revolutionary Road | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day the Music Died | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder In | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Air On Fire | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Confusion Baby Boy | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Company Clown | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Everett’s Song | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pederson’s Courage | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tradition | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Dynamo | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rippolino | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Peace Treaty | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.