Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 17, 2021

July 17, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Delightfullywicked 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Clever and Great 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Paint Music for Me 1.20 3 6-1
4 4 Manklin Creek 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rockin Ron 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Al Brown 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 T Minus Ten 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Order for Porky 2.50 5 9-1
6 5 One Two Kid 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Semper Fi 4.50 6 11-1
12 8 Delaware Destroyer 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Mr. d’Angelo 3.50 6.6 12-1
11 7 So Dialed In 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 U S Constitution 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Irish Riviera 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Galatians 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Ghost Stalker 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stevethevandriver 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 I’m Not Slow 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Wessington Springs 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Cash Flowing 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dontcrossfuzzy 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 E. P. Milton 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Local Motive 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ordinary Girl 3.50 3 6-1
6 5 Heart of Secrets 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Tapdancing Girl 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Broadway Melody 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Spanikopita 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Nicolar 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Toss a Coin 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 6 Rona 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Tipsy Tourist 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Is the Way 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Birthday Wish 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Bestla 15.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 McElmore Avenue 1.80 2.9 5-1
7A 6 Thundershook 1.60 3 6-1
2 2 McCain 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Clubman 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Closer Look 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Apostle 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 My Friends Beer 8.00 7 13-1
6A 6 Halite 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Factor In 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Midnight Choir 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Look What I Found 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Unshakable U 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Hey Babe 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Bella Thyme 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Tunnel Strike 30.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Potion 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Bella Bettina 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Fire in the Hole 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Revolutionary Road 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Day the Music Died 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Wonder In 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Air On Fire 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Confusion Baby Boy 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Company Clown 8.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Everett’s Song 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 American d’Oro 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Pederson’s Courage 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Tradition 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Awesome Dynamo 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rippolino 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Le Peace Treaty 20.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.