July 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Rocker | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solar Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Know by Heart (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angelic Storm | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle Born | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Up Her Sleeve | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barbara | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolce Aprile | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’sananimal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Happy Tweet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Harper Be Good | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kiss Upon a Star | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Baby Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ricki Ticki Taffi | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Green Mansions | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mustang Cat | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adeeb | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man of Vision | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Pistol | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ramazzotti (CHI) | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crown of Honor | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emperor’s Cause | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Runner | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Mo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mutakaamil | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortified | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Hedge | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Louie | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Meadow | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Dancer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emit | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vision of Thanos | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bach | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jupiter Blues | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Mike | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Kicks On Sixty Six | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thorn | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mony | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big City Red | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Up Guy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Political Riot | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunman | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Meister | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | American Phenom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Super Edgar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Skipper Too | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brady | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Armour | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiftwish | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Porter | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Viking | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summanus | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morgan Point | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Mr. Steele S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Renaisance Frolic | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Max K. O. | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vow Me Now | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caribou Club | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory of Florida | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noble Indy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Over the Channel | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Doc Amster | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Octane | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One More Score | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fishing for Fun | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Green Crusader | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beastfromtheeast | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Warrior | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Lover | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soulful Song | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gemini Moon | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Halcyon Digest | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Young Flint | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marisa’s Mission | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Joe Benjamin | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buenisimo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coltonstheadmiral | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Venerate | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catching Fish | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stunning Baby | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Beach Kid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Berhanu | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Special Counsel | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Takes Heart | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kozy Dreams | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace’s Drama | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chez Paree | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Up | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Handfull | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ledecky | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kaufy Bean | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Romario | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kantharos’ Image | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Factor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Breakthrough | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Si Como No | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legendary Prince | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Weaver | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Tingles | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Septemberten | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Roger | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kathern’s Joy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hierro | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Minute Deal | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Menelik | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Under Fire | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wild Texas Tom | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overstated | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Driver | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mulsanne Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Camp Pendleton | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nona Rac | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sleeper Ryan S | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Compass Cay | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.