Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 17, 2021

July 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Royal Rocker 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Solar Girl 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Know by Heart (IRE) 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Angelic Storm 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Castle Born 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Up Her Sleeve 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Barbara 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Dolce Aprile 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 She’sananimal 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Happy Tweet 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Harper Be Good 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kiss Upon a Star 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Baby Blue 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ricki Ticki Taffi 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Green Mansions 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mustang Cat 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Adeeb 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Man of Vision 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Moon Pistol 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ramazzotti (CHI) 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crown of Honor 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Emperor’s Cause 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Gran Runner 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Mystery Mo 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mutakaamil 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Fortified 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Cape Hedge 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Loyal Louie 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Personal Meadow 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Soul Dancer 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Emit 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Vision of Thanos 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Bach 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Jupiter Blues 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Lucky Mike 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Kicks On Sixty Six 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Thorn 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Mony 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Big City Red 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Straight Up Guy 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 6 Political Riot 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Gunman 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Holy Meister 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 American Phenom 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Super Edgar 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Skipper Too 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Brady 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Frosted Armour 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Swiftwish 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Hey Porter 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sun Viking 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Summanus 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Morgan Point 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Mr. Steele S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Renaisance Frolic 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 7 Max K. O. 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Vow Me Now 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Caribou Club 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Glory of Florida 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Noble Indy 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Over the Channel 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Scar 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Doc Amster 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Octane 1.60 1.1 2-1
8 8 One More Score 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Fishing for Fun 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 The Green Crusader 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Beastfromtheeast 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hidden Warrior 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Cajun Lover 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Soulful Song 30.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Gemini Moon 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Halcyon Digest 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Young Flint 3.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Marisa’s Mission 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Joe Benjamin 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Buenisimo 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Coltonstheadmiral 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Venerate 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Catching Fish 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 7 Stunning Baby 30.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Long Beach Kid 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Berhanu 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Special Counsel 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 She Takes Heart 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Kozy Dreams 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Grace’s Drama 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Chez Paree 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Tee Up 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Sheza Handfull 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ledecky 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kaufy Bean 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Romario 4.50 3 6-1
9 9 Kantharos’ Image 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Surprise Factor 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Breakthrough 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Si Como No 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Legendary Prince 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Star Weaver 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Mr Tingles 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Septemberten 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dr. Roger 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Kathern’s Joy 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Hierro 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Last Minute Deal 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Menelik 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Under Fire 10.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Wild Texas Tom 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Overstated 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Super Driver 30.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Mulsanne Run 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Camp Pendleton 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nona Rac 30.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Sleeper Ryan S 30.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Compass Cay 30.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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