July 16, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leprino | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Studly Perfection | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Troutman | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Magician | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Cobra | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Dragon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Causeididitmyway | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | House Limit | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Mammoth | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Axel Steel | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flash of Genius | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senate Chamber | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get Back Goldie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charter Oak | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respect the Code | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Formal Order | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hiding the Brick | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C’Mon Man | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crystalle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going to Vegas | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearing Act | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Secretary | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catch the Eye | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Diva | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avenue de France (FR) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Ju Forget | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dendera | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doris Mae | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Abhita | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Square Fun | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amanda Rose | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gianna’s Wild Cat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wedding Chapel | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Am Yisrael Chai | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Ghost | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madiha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Busker Allie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lilly Babe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Preskitt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Takemebythehand (GB) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brooklyns Best | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zydeco Mama | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buy American | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Goddess | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookintogeteven | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rivercrest Road | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cielo d’Oro | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warrens Candy Girl | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floral Essence | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Beautiful Temple | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Norma Jean B. | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Glory of Chrome | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Assignation | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Alleva | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Next Revolt | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Street Behavior | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Energizer | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel War | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sea to Success | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crooked Finger Ray | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Question Authority | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unthrottled | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eustace | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Upper Room | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Confidential | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bad Beat Brian | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | McWherter | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfectionistic | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Juanito | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jamming Eddy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finally Here | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Commander Khai | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bedrock | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superman Shaq | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bench Judge | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eddie Haskell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Posterize | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Team Merchants | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Fighter | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Got No Munny | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Box of Chocolates | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adare | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kahuna Magic | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savile Row | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Exaulted | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Major Cabbie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Oceanside S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fighting Force | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Whatmakessammyrun | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | None Above the Law | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Shake | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flashiest | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crew Dragon | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harbored Memories | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Petruchio | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Foolery Here | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Cry | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brutto | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mucho Del Oro | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hockey Dad | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ingest | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Jeff | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Exalted Joy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willy the Cobbler | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Albizu | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Legend | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Longest Night | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ox Bridge | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Active Account | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Beat | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckoning Day | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Pelliar | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Took Charge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.