Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 16, 2021

July 16, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Leprino 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Studly Perfection 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Dr. Troutman 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Gray Magician 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Conquest Cobra 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Golden Dragon 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Causeididitmyway 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 House Limit 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midnight Mammoth 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Axel Steel 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Flash of Genius 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Senate Chamber 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Get Back Goldie 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Charter Oak 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Respect the Code 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Formal Order 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Hiding the Brick 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 C’Mon Man 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crystalle 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Going to Vegas 1.60 2.8 5-1
2 2 Disappearing Act 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Quiet Secretary 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pulpit Rider 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Catch the Eye 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Blue Diva 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Avenue de France (FR) 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Don’t Ju Forget 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dendera 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Doris Mae 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Abhita 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Square Fun 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Amanda Rose 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Gianna’s Wild Cat 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Wedding Chapel 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Am Yisrael Chai 30.00 9 17-1
5 5 Heaven’s Ghost 30.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Madiha 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Busker Allie 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lilly Babe 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Preskitt 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Takemebythehand (GB) 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Brooklyns Best 8.00 3 6-1
12 12 Zydeco Mama 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Buy American 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Queen Goddess 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Lookintogeteven 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Rivercrest Road 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Cielo d’Oro 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Warrens Candy Girl 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Floral Essence 8.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Beautiful Temple 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Norma Jean B. 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Glory of Chrome 30.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Assignation 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Alleva 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Next Revolt 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Street Behavior 8.00 4.6 9-1
12 11 Energizer 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Rebel War 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Sea to Success 4.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Crooked Finger Ray 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Question Authority 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Unthrottled 20.00 8 15-1
7 6 Eustace 15.00 8.5 16-1
11 10 Upper Room 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Sky Confidential 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bad Beat Brian 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 McWherter 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Perfectionistic 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Little Juanito 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Jamming Eddy 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Finally Here 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Commander Khai 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Bedrock 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Superman Shaq 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Bench Judge 12.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Eddie Haskell 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Posterize 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Team Merchants 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Freedom Fighter 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 I Got No Munny 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Box of Chocolates 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Adare 12.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Kahuna Magic 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Mr. Dougie Fresh 12.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Savile Row 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Exaulted 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Major Cabbie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Oceanside S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fighting Force 6.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Whatmakessammyrun 3.50 5.9 11-1
11 11 None Above the Law 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Dream Shake 4.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Flashiest 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Crew Dragon 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Harbored Memories 8.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Petruchio 12.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 No Foolery Here 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Jungle Cry 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Brutto 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mucho Del Oro 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hockey Dad 20.00 10.3 20-1
12 12 Ingest 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Uncle Jeff 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Exalted Joy 4.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Willy the Cobbler 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Albizu 3.50 5 10-1
4 4 Mongolian Legend 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 The Longest Night 4.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Ox Bridge 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Active Account 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 The Beat 15.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Reckoning Day 15.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Mount Pelliar 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Took Charge 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
1st - 7:15
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2nd - 4:44
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2nd - 10:01
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2nd - 7:29
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2nd - 0:00
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1st - 0:52
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End 2nd
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1:11 2nd
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