Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 15, 2021

July 15, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Frankel At Ascot (FR) 1.60 2 4-1
2 2 Dance With Destiny 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Saucy Cat 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mademoiselle Nova 2.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Con Thien 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Quinte Road 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Shes the North 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Chaldea 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 If Six Was Nine 2.00 4.5 8-1
10 8 Letter Roll 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Ambitious Princess 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Popthechampagne 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Elfin Forest 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 5 Queen Andher Court 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 Trickeration 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Don’t Smile Lilah 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tranquil Sky 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Yare N Dira 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Fresh Dreams 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Real Coal 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Veil 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Betwixting 1.80 3.9 7-1
4 4 Ever So d’Wild 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Nisha 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Samurai Fighter 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Candy’s Dream 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Wide Awake 3.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Joy’s Solution 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Savvy’s Sister 4.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Sweet Shades 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 She’s a True Fox 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Capable 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Vinyasa 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Muskoka Lady 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Stormy Vision 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Drunk Dial 1.20 1.9 4-1
2 2 Salty as Can Be 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Imagery 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Pledge 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Chargina 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Hazelbrook 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Swirling Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent and Smart 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Rule the Sea 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Classy Mistress 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Baby Driver 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Kentucky Fan 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Blu Sky Sunrise 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 In Pursuit 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 San Nicola Star 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 You Thrill Me 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Shishka 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Guroo 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sterling Speed 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 High Society Girl 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lady Kratos 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Linda Loves Lace 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Nero Davola 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Souper Pecan 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Miss Bobbit 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Viani 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Naitaka 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Dont Wake the Bear 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Canadian Essence 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Simply a Zoomer 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Gigi’s Gift 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Everyminitevryhour 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Royal City Reign 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 3 Cliff’s Head 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Conzip 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.