July 14, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hide the Ransom | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Branco Maria | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ego Man | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Daddy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Beau | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Enough | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s All Courage | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Both Ways | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly a Dream | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peacelovenkarma | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moniques Daredevil | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jordin’s Surprise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Catirusia | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Wicked Mercury | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mosalah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Memphis Showboat | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Chrome | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Perhaps Tonight (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Suiko | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rockstar Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chick’s Shadow | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Life Cider | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chit Chat Girl | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mary Costa | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Susikin | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uno Tigress | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Victory Time | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tuesday’s Rose | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Bay Express | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hot Nail | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Offlee Graysful | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Not Shy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Prime Coat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ephemeral | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Downtown Katie | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kats in Charge | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Home by Seven | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vesper | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hummin’ the Funk | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remarkable Lass | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Friesan | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winningforpleasure | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Muchacho Macho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | True Grace | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Not Invented Here | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Percher | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quest of Glory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Exchange Fever | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Papa Ralph J | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | National Honor | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dashing Lou | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jag | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Perfetto | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’craziness | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jeezum Jim | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot to Seek Her | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cobh | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cloontia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Year of the Kitten | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | The Quantico Kid | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Kid d’Oro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Where Paradise Lay | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Seanow | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Slashing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | In the Loop | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pianzi | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rileys Dude | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.