July 11, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Celebratory | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Sandy Bay | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Checkerboard Floor | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Victor’s Dynasty | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mr. Diffley | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Prince of Thieves | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Hell Bent | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | U S Army Corps | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kosmonavt | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Dixie Giant | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Lion Kingdom | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | British Royalty | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Jegos Fire | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | English Classic | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Forest Survivor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Mr. Cool | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Galvaston | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Secret Reserve | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Dancing Dragon | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Souper Classy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Tale of Mineshaft | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
11 | 10 | Tape to Tape | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Take a Chance | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Moonquest | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
10 | 9 | Desert Eagle | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Runninforcover | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Maritime Mission | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Belentime | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
3 | 2 | Bodie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Arbeit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | City Legend | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Romantic Gamble | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
7 | 7 | Incendio | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Silent Runner | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sailor’s Passion | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
11 | 10 | Santiago Salsa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Strapping | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Thanks Laura | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Smart Bird | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Ultimate Answer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Wheresthepassion | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Suigu Star | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Soul Freedom | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Infamous Covert | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Correlate | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Paperback Hero | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Justalittlehyper | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Blue Snow | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Black Hills Bronco | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Executive Holiday | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | The Band Coming | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Marine S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Tidal Forces | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Frosted Over | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Haddassah | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Easy Time | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Keep Grinding | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Candy Overload | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Queenston S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 6 | Tio Magico | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Red River Rebel | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Master Spy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Artie’s Storm | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 5 | Download | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Del Griffith | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Candy Overload | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Gretzky the Great | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Another | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Fire for Effect | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Told It All | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Epilogue | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Courtly Manner | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Letthebighossroll | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Gorgeous Kitten | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Two Timing | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Malibu Secret | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | My Silencer | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Senor Jobim | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Solidify | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cash Dividend | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 1.60 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Total Destruction | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mr Narcissistic | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tiz Romantic | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Pink Gelato | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Seventh Wonder | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
13 | 12 | Kawacatoose | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Verrazano Narrows | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Black Sun | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Preachlittlegospel | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Homelander | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Touman | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
12 | 12 | Greyshott | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.