July 11, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Classinova | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lil Pete El Soruyo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rakin in Mo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ts Perry Kool | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jam Valiant Wind | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lokke Louie | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vals Sizzling Lips | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Toby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Big N Rick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fly Ivory Fly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Gold Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kool and Fabulous | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wieburg | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tres Evidence | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Not a Secret | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purty Darn Quick | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shadi Lady | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bayou a Cartel | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ec Ante Up | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Midnight Candy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vf Pillow Talk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Futurity) – Prairie Meadows Gold Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Famous Candy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U Go Gal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Last Tres Seis | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Im a Fancee Chik | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Saints New Weapon | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Political Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dun With Politics | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jess Southard | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What You Know | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Five Bar Barbie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Post Close | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Lake | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fourth Design | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Catomine | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Have a Plan | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Campaign Spy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sing Loud | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Big Daddy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willhebmysugadaddy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Pines Sandy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Crystal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roger P | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Shirt No Shoes | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moto Moto | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Codetowin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Detonator | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holding Fast | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley and Ben | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Garbo Speaks | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayleywick | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peggy Rules | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Dreamer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annieway U Want It | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barbed Wire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Redneckerthanyou | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nosbor | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cantwaittograduate | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Field | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phillip Justin | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone With the Finn | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toussaint | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kela’s Turn | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snapy Gal | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Topless | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Shack Queen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girls in Charge | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Silence | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Darling | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jasiri | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foxy Ace | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Company | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goose Drank Wine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rancho Bargo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roll Out | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creasy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.