July 11, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spectatorless | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doublepour | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lokoya Road | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamy Dolce | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Profusion | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fotis | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Generalonamission | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Pammy’s Ready | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghai Shamrock | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Camie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Fudge | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Dolly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Continentalcongres | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pacific Grove | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlee O | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midsummer Nights | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Shamalamadingdong | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Towering Orbit | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pretty Clever | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Road to Remember | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Sight | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Constitutionalrage | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dom’s Feisty Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 4 | Rhythm Section | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sidd Finch | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Girl Dad | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fame to Famous | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Demo Doctor | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chulainn | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landbiscuit | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Elston | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | After Five | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Tiber | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supply and Demand | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiberius Mercurius | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voodoo Zip | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Package | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkling Sky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes and Yes | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ananroad | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ampersand | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Endorsed | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jalen Journey | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Montauk Traffic | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Basin | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yodel E. A. Who | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bon Raison | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Trick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s in Charge | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Sofia | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fierce Lady | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Primacy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midtown Rose | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glass Ceiling | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shesalittle Edgy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – River Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Virginia Joy (GER) | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Delta’s Kingdom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Call Me Love (GB) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Civil Union | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mutamakina (GB) | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pallas Athene | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Luck Money | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Thankful | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Tis a Pity | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Curious Mind | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Escapewithfriends | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Prairie Tales | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lookin to Fly | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Barrel of Bliss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Grace in Motion | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13A | 11 | Ethel’s Doctorate | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Idalisa | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Dreams | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Queentigua | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Favorite Impulse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Happy Hill Lil | 50.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.