July 10, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | White Whiskey | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alluring Rumba | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spritz of Sprite | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Tizmo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galofmydreams | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shabang | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dialing Dixie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ima Ima Starboy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | H R H Jellybean | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Jazz | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deshackled | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Misbehaving | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hartel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Street Silence | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bernie’s On Fire | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chargin Storm | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Frontier | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seany P | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingston Pike | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Odds On | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Adelaide Miss | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitten With a Whip | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Response Time | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marvella Nasty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Serenade a Kitten | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Make It Coach | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kewpie Doll | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Marley | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mit Mazel | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spitball | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speightster Red | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buzzhound | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scottsdale | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kwist | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucian | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crying for More | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tigertini | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love My Cat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coral Summer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Abilify | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellatora | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayfield of Dreams | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notion Interruptus | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running On Entry | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Smarty | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sara Plain N Tall | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Entry | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bob’s Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Memories Eternal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Home by Seven | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ran Char | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Le Weekend | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance and Dance | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mortal Storm | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foggy Dreams | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Shot | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eloquent Lady | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Margie’s Heaven | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My My Girl | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sick Pack Sara | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tea in China | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hell in a Shell | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Imagination | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Skylark | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapidashqueen | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cookies and Cream | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fearless Lassie | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Old Bay | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Boss of You | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Blessing | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Way Or Else | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.