July 5, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Kool Flash | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Bo Dash | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Wagon | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rm Misseasywagon | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runnin to You | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trs Jessa Little Ali | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casanova Kid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blow Like Snow | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Pesty Fly | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Pistol Pete | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kool Aid Wagon | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colies Kiss | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loving the Cameragal | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy and Corona | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shackadelic | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Russian Roulette | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mostly Awesome | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | First Empress | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Javistha | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Lingerie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Why God | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Ghost | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call You Tomorrow | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Seen Slim | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take That for Data | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Pair | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Abe | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Kitten | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Not Accredited | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitten | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escrow Style | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legionary | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Win for Fun | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three for Three | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Im Just Jokin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Macho Madness | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | East Moon Lake | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Moment | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Private Truth | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Driver | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy’s Little Tip | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biker Tim | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Diablo | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Jazzy Justin | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knocks Big Thirst | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | El Supremo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pasamonte Man | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Cowboy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kid’s Mischief | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Criminal | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knight Disruptor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tappin Fora Dance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Itsallaboutyou | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship Boss | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Invasion | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormin’ J. J. | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jaysker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Winner Wally | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molleck | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justa Streak | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gio Nasty One | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Despina | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nurse List | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kiss My Grits | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Issue | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Daaherachel | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kain’s Lady | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leighton Kentucky | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Put Sarah On | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kalliste Rose | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ta | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.