Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 5, 2021

July 5, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lil Kool Flash 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Fly Bo Dash 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Louisiana Wagon 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Rm Misseasywagon 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Runnin to You 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Trs Jessa Little Ali 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Casanova Kid 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blow Like Snow 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Fly Pesty Fly 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Lil Pistol Pete 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Kool Aid Wagon 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Colies Kiss 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Loving the Cameragal 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Candy and Corona 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shackadelic 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Russian Roulette 1.60 2.4 4-1
4 3 Mostly Awesome 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 5 First Empress 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Javistha 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Red Lingerie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Why God 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mighty Ghost 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Call You Tomorrow 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hardly Seen Slim 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Take That for Data 8.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Two Pair 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Gospel Abe 10.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Cash Kitten 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Not Accredited 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Bitten 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Escrow Style 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Legionary 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Win for Fun 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Three for Three 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Im Just Jokin 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Macho Madness 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 East Moon Lake 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Winning Moment 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Private Truth 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Driver 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Candy’s Little Tip 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Biker Tim 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Dazzling Diablo 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Jazzy Justin 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Knocks Big Thirst 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Hubbadahubbadaboom 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 6 El Supremo 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Pasamonte Man 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bourbon Cowboy 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 Kid’s Mischief 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 7 Criminal 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Knight Disruptor 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tappin Fora Dance 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Itsallaboutyou 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Ship Boss 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Discreet Invasion 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Stormin’ J. J. 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jaysker 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Oscar Winner Wally 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Molleck 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Justa Streak 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Gio Nasty One 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Despina 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Nurse List 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Kiss My Grits 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Happy Issue 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Daaherachel 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Kain’s Lady 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Leighton Kentucky 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Put Sarah On 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Kalliste Rose 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Ta 15.00 8.9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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