Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 5, 2021

July 5, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beautiful Gorgeous 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Still My Babe 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Maestria 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Boss Lady Kim 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 I Love Maria 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 It Is What It Is 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Blue Sky Venezuela 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 A Toast to Kay 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Ruby Punch 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Chit Chat Girl 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Susikin 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Bee’snbee’s 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Big Affair 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bad to the Bones 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Capt. Candy 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Addicted to Chaos 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 King of Hollywood 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Whodeewho 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Fourteeneightyfour 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 My Handsome Man 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sandy Lane Kitten 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Kid Mercury 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Mokheef 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Shendam (FR) 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Lucky Ramsey 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Trouble Coffee 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Jag 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Andrez Conquist 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Coal Truth 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Courageous Grace 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Captivating Gal 1.50 2 4-1
1 1 Kabikeka 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Classy But Sassy 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Peek a Boo I See U 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Square Peg 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Safely Touch 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Holy Saint 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Rocket Blast 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Storming My Way 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Nautical Nature 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Tom Terrific 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Day 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 D C Fireman 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Marsac 4.00 2.6 5-1
13 9 Belmullet 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Hard to Be Humble 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bloodprof 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 False Alarm 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 7 Papa Luke 8.00 7 13-1
12 8 Hail Southern 10.00 7.6 14-1
14 10 Exchange Fever 15.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Expensive 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Straitouta Congtin 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Expensive Style 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Start the Parade 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 True Shipman 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Zen Archer 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Maureenlovesfrank 2.00 2 4-1
2 1 Izzybella 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Sprite’s Lady 6.00 4 8-1
4 3 Hello Rosie Say 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Honor Your Mother 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Fred’s Sheila 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Enter Sandwoman 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Eagle Keeper 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 1 Bob Man 3.00 3 6-1
3 2 Damir 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Field Officer 6.00 4 8-1
4 3 Natural Appeal 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Restless Rocker 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Poppy’s Prize 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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