Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 4, 2021

July 4, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Iris Royal Jess 0.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Regal Dynasty 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 Real Wagon 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Sweet Twisted Tea 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Apollitical Queen 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Afabulous Hustle 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Gfr Gone N Dun It 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Power of Royalty 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Moonflash Ocean 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Trig 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Kickin Good Time 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Benjamin Moore 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ts Dash to the End 3.50 2 4-1
4 3 A Third Rate Romance 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Lil Romance Wagon 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Be the Change 6.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Eye of Rose 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Jess Lippy 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Paint Fast 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Hail Yez Darlin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boo Be Right 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Gotta Love Ike 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Hot Blooded Song 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Mr. Popcorn 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Cold Snack Thirty 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Woke Up Wild 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hidden Ruler 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Greeley and Ben 1.20 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lookin for Eight 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Warrior’s Lullaby 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ault 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Canadian Game 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bottomless 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Halo Jax 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Flat Out Freed 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Outlaster 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Pistol Packin Man 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Shy Runner 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Not This Again 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Finish Up 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Warrior’s Run 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Ain’t Life Grand 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Kwai Chang 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Win in the City 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Midnight Rules 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Blue Paradise 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Native Hellraiser 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Ron 1.60 1.4 3-1
7 7 Nasty Exaggerator 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lancelot N Elaine 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 My Boaz 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Launched 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Alittlebitoflime 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 It’s All About Joe 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Quality Run 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Thrown for a Loupe 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Smoking Gun 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Drewhustle 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sir Deputy 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Moon in the Sky 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Goose Drank Wine 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sir Brahms 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Xtreme Lyra 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 D’urban Park 5.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Rancho Bargo 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Whata Perfect Day 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Plumbago 10.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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