July 4, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Zip the Lip | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Championship Alley | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get Lit | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Quest of Glory | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Shawn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scottsdale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Golden G | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Self Awareness | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doobiedoobiedoobie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Fooling Dude | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Commanding General | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dragon Moon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Twirl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | San Antone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fugitive | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Contented Now | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Pearls | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmicality | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rip It | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballyhoo Prince | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Island | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antipoison | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cup Match | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Bob | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pauping | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heroic Deed | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackie A | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eight Oaks | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sublimity | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congress Hall | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Lady | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glory March | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Love You | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Lane | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brushing | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Epic Idea | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buckey’s Charm | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proper Storm | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betcha by Golly | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Who U Gonna Call | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tam Char | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lambeau Lady | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hufflepuff | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Behind the Couch | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brewster Flats | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devilish Affair | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Princess | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Despeight All Odds | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jameela S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | Can the Queen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Quiet Company | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Spun Glass | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Introduced | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Ellanation | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Dendrobia | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Carolina Ice | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Enough Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Proper Attire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hello Beautiful | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rapidashqueen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Paisley Singing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Concern S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roderick | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sibelius | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Mischief | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alwaysinahurry | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Two Zone | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singlino | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Caesar’s Wish S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | His Glory | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trolley Ride | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artful Splatter | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gracetown | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Orb | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suggestive Honor (ARG) | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sami D | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landing Zone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Lite The Fuse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Chateau | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Yaupon | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Laki | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Whiskey and You | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threes Over Deuces | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Valued Notion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lebda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Gleaming Sword | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lost Uncle | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hair of the Dog | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crack the Safe | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raven Rahy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artista | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One More Factor | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Virginia Fib | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Bobbie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Don’t Dare Me | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flash Is Back | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | One Most Wanted | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Divine Proportion | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Smitten Enough | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.