Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 4, 2021

July 4, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Zip the Lip 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 4 Championship Alley 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Get Lit 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 3 Quest of Glory 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 King Shawn 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Scottsdale 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Golden G 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Self Awareness 2.00 4 8-1
7 6 Doobiedoobiedoobie 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 No Fooling Dude 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Commanding General 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Dragon Moon 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 More Twirl 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 San Antone 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fugitive 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Contented Now 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Iron Pearls 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Cosmicality 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Rip It 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Ballyhoo Prince 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Honey Island 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Antipoison 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cup Match 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Clever Bob 20.00 7.7 14-1
12 11 Pauping 15.00 8.1 15-1
10 9 Heroic Deed 20.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Jackie A 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eight Oaks 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sublimity 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Congress Hall 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sacred Lady 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Shak’s Hidden Gem 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Don’tbaggagecheck 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Glory March 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I Love You 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Speed Lane 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Brushing 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Epic Idea 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Buckey’s Charm 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Proper Storm 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Betcha by Golly 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Who U Gonna Call 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tam Char 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lambeau Lady 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Hufflepuff 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Behind the Couch 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Brewster Flats 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Devilish Affair 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Fancy Princess 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Despeight All Odds 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jameela S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 2 Can the Queen 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 3 Quiet Company 10.00 4.7 9-1
12 7 Spun Glass 4.00 5 9-1
8 4 Introduced 1.60 5.1 10-1
11 6 Ellanation 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 1 Dendrobia 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 5 Carolina Ice 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Never Enough Time 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Proper Attire 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hello Beautiful 0.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rapidashqueen 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Paisley Singing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Concern S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roderick 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sibelius 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mighty Mischief 1.20 3.2 6-1
3 3 Alwaysinahurry 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Three Two Zone 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Singlino 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Caesar’s Wish S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 His Glory 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Trolley Ride 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Artful Splatter 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Gracetown 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mrs. Orb 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Suggestive Honor (ARG) 30.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sweet Sami D 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Landing Zone 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Lite The Fuse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Chateau 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 4 Yaupon 1.40 3 6-1
4 2 Laki 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 1 Whiskey and You 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Threes Over Deuces 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Valued Notion 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lebda 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Gleaming Sword 3.00 1.8 3-1
11 10 Lost Uncle 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Hair of the Dog 3.50 4.9 9-1
8 7 Leave ‘Em Loaded 4.50 5 9-1
3 2 Crack the Safe 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Raven Rahy 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Artista 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 One More Factor 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 6 Virginia Fib 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Miracle Bobbie 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Don’t Dare Me 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flash Is Back 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 One Most Wanted 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Divine Proportion 20.00 10.1 19-1
15 11 Smitten Enough 30.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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