Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 4, 2021

July 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bulk 2.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Bella Future 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Try Me 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Luvnmesumcajun 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Fun Loaded 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 El Zopilote 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Weatherford 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Mindship Q 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Mister Fernando 30.00 8.9 17-1
11 10 High Press 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Can’t Be Broken 30.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Dimenna 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hard Ten 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Here Comes Bullet 1.40 3 6-1
2 2 Camp Pendleton 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mr. Einstein 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 El Romantico 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Pacific Legend 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Highjump Charlie 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Saratoga Dancer 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Johnnie Got Jets 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Allworthy 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Addilyn 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Merseyside 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Heiressindy 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Elusive Molly 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Perspire 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 La Rusia 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 Awesome Ella 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lady Cloverly 3.00 3.3 6-1
10 8 First Gold 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Slewys Chosen One 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Bonheur 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Special Inclusion 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Miss Moreno 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Liesel 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Elliereeseaston 6.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Cactus Kitten 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Tone Feelin 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 2 Khozando 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 The Ice Beast 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 4 Big Frank 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Black V. K. 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Gods Blessing 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jirafales 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Wind 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Karenville 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Toolegittoquit 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Kick Out the Jams 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Blue Eye Kitten 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Blazinonbayou 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Bordeaux Legacy 30.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Inpending Breeze 30.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Jasira 30.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Shes Sky High 30.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Sugar On Top 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 American of Course 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Snackster 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Leyenda 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 You’re the Best 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Happy Interest 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Queen Domina 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Gaga Oh La La 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sticky Issue 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Jess’s Stride 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Nantan Lupan 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Twice too Many 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Piypa de Lynda 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Edmund Fitzgerald 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Big Red Style 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Small John 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Caribou Club 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Tiger Blood 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Harry’s Ontheloose 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Yes I Am Free 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Ete Indien 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Citrus Burst 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Romario 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Sovereign Warrior 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Warrior’s Pride 15.00 7.9 15-1
12 11 Brother Satchmo 30.00 8.9 17-1
11 10 Nitro Time 20.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 R Mercedes Boy 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Ournationonparade 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Ricki Ticki Taffi 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 One Turn Johnny 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Starship Taxi 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Timewon’tletmego 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 5 Sea Trident 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Power (BRZ) 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Andrew the Bull 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 First Navy Admiral 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Til the End 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 4 Mystery Bank 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dominate Themoment 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Plenum 4.00 4.5 9-1
10 8 Freedom Matters 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 9 Zero Gravity 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 5 Timmy M. 12.00 7.2 14-1
12 10 Souper Jaguar 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Lahinch 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Khozy My Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 First Rule 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Creative Cloud 2.50 SCRATCH
8 6 Winter’s Wonder 30.00 11.2 21-1
9 7 Quinto Sol 30.00 11.7 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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