July 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bulk | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Future | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Try Me | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luvnmesumcajun | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fun Loaded | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Zopilote | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weatherford | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mindship Q | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Fernando | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | High Press | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Be Broken | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dimenna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hard Ten | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Bullet | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Pendleton | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Einstein | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Romantico | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Legend | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highjump Charlie | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Dancer | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnnie Got Jets | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Allworthy | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addilyn | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merseyside | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heiressindy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Molly | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perspire | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | La Rusia | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Ella | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Cloverly | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | First Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Slewys Chosen One | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bonheur | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Inclusion | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Moreno | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liesel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Elliereeseaston | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Cactus Kitten | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Tone Feelin | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Khozando | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The Ice Beast | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Frank | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Black V. K. | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gods Blessing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jirafales | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Wind | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Karenville | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toolegittoquit | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kick Out the Jams | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Eye Kitten | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blazinonbayou | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bordeaux Legacy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inpending Breeze | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jasira | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Sky High | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sugar On Top | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American of Course | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snackster | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leyenda | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You’re the Best | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Interest | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Domina | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gaga Oh La La | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sticky Issue | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess’s Stride | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nantan Lupan | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twice too Many | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piypa de Lynda | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edmund Fitzgerald | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Red Style | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Small John | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caribou Club | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Blood | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes I Am Free | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ete Indien | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Citrus Burst | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romario | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sovereign Warrior | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Pride | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Brother Satchmo | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nitro Time | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R Mercedes Boy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ournationonparade | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ricki Ticki Taffi | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Turn Johnny | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Starship Taxi | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Timewon’tletmego | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Trident | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Power (BRZ) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Andrew the Bull | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Navy Admiral | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Til the End | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mystery Bank | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominate Themoment | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plenum | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freedom Matters | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Zero Gravity | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Timmy M. | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Souper Jaguar | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lahinch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Khozy My Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | First Rule | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Creative Cloud | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Winter’s Wonder | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quinto Sol | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.