Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 3, 2021

July 3, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Acadian Girl 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 5 Irish Brandi 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sheriff’s Kid 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Meet Michelle 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Why Not You 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Moonlight Miss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Fool Yourself 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 2 Enter Sandwoman 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 4 Prinecess Doir 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Indian Nichols 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 5 Oil On Canvas 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Beckon 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 No Down Days 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Fionnbharr 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Why Not Tonight 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heavenly Trip 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Slaats 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 A Lot Like Xmas 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Epic Rise 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Up for the Chance 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 King Saban 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ravenel 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Joyful Noise 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Calypso Ghost 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Dat Dares Gold 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Sarah’s Treasure 3.50 3 6-1
4 3 I’m So Munny 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Marie From Parie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Rad Paisley 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Pederson’s Courage 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 All Bull 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Hello Amigo 4.00 4 8-1
6 5 Thruster 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 4 Jack of Hearts 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Second Term 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A Great Affair 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Baltimore Bud 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Elusive Edge 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Jenna the Boss 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bust Out Lady 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sunday in L B C 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Zig 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ronomes 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hot Choice 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mystic Comin Home 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 My Way Or Else 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Forced 3.00 3 6-1
4 2 Going to the Lead 4.00 3.1 6-1
12 6 Day the Music Died 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Wonder In 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 3 Battlebus 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 1 Candygramformongo 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 River Tiber 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 John the Bear 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Godlovesasinner 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Slippin Jimmy 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Railmaster 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Prince Pere 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 By the Sey Shore 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nana’s Shoes 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Rag Top 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sammie Sunshine 1.20 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bring Me Answers 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Simmard Shenanigan 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Olive’s Bumpa 20.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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