July 3, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Righteously | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Maggie’s Magic | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Malibu Mistress | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Season to Remember | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Clubhouse Saint | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Paige Runner | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Lucky Peridot | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Sugary | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Flatterwithjewels | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Delta Wind | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Lakerbench | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Lake Flamingo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Applaud the Bench | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Elgofranco | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Nan Elizabeth | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Iconic Storm | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Slew the Waters | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Pasito | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Exchange Vows | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Miss Lady Ann | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Watch the Fed | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Nip Nap | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | None of Your Biz | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Casillalater | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Listen Linda | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Goddess Aphrodite | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Absolute Unit | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | American Dancer | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Kennebec | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Dr. Hoffman | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Railsplitter | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Sigalert | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Lady O’Prado | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Bluegrass Sky | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Lucky Long Legs | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Big Passion | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Wild Arch | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Heart River | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Northern Gem | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Im Still Thirsty | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
9 | 8 | Takeittothebank | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 3 | Louie Zamperini | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
10 | 9 | Primed for Drinks | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Socal Red | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Blazing Candy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Thirsty Chapo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mesa Empire | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
3 | 2 | Smoken Shadow | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Fantastic Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | She’s a Dime | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Harper’s Gallop | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Risen Lady | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Feathers (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Prince Ricky | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
8 | 8 | Western Smoke | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Desert Swarm | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
9 | 9 | It’s Fitting | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Super Classic | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Arrivederci Roma | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Calder Vale | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Vegas Moon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mr. Clutch | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.