Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 3, 2021

July 3, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 1 Bella Principessa 3.50 2.1 4-1
12A 4 To the Tune 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 3 Home for Christmas 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 2 Sweet Franny Lu 3.00 3.6 7-1
13B 5 Tales of Makenna 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mondeuse 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Manhattan 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Raffinity 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Angeloverthepulpit 50.00 SCRATCH
6B 6 Escapewithfriends 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Saigon 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sweet Ashley 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Masu 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Perfect Symphony 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Daggerboard 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 My Primo 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Up for Adventure 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Second Fortune 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Quick Return 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Bolgheri 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Capt’ Remington 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Napoleon Complex 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiergan 1.40 2.2 4-1
3 3 Work Out 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Quickflash 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Forest Spirit 30.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Devil’s Code 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bingo John 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Macho Boy 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Doublepour 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Apex Predator 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Taino 1.40 4.6 9-1
6 5 Combat Ribbon 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Quintarelli 20.00 6 11-1
3 2 Have a Heart 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Generalonamission 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Whichwaytomalibu 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Regality 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Tallaj 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Moonlight Now 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Good Culture 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Halstaat 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Patty O’Marc 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 True Palace 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Ajhar 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 7 Chris and Dave 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 2 Twisted Tom 3.50 5.4 10-1
13 6 Vintage Hollywood 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 4 Bodecream 4.00 6.1 12-1
9 3 Chocolate Bar 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 1 Alkhaatam 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Ballagh Rocks 20.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Principled Stand (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Island Commish 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Emaraaty (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Dreams of Tomorrow 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ghoul (BRZ) 10.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Price Talk 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Morning Breez 6.00 SCRATCH
11 5 Forever Poe 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Storm Advisory 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 4 Skipin On Orchard 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Strolling 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Alcools 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Vineyard Sound 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Cause of Action 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Zaevion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Johnny Sack 3.50 3.2 6-1
11A 7 Ghazaaly 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 Founder 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 5 Restored Order 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 1 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 6 Spectatorless 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Mira Mission 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sifting Sands (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Space Launch 2.50 SCRATCH
9A 9 Munqad 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Velvet Crush 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 3 Truth Hurts 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Hogans Holiday 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 2 Piedi Bianchi 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Honey Cake (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Princess Grace 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sunset Kiss (GB) 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Madita (GER) 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Viadera (GB) 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Suburban S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mystic Guide 1.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Happy Saver 1.20 3.3 6-1
1 1 Moretti 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Max Player 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Informative 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Prioritize 12.00 4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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