Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 2, 2021

July 2, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star of Normandy 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Raeford 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Pet’s Night 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Moonzano 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Pepe and Heywood 1.40 3.3 6-1
7 7 Chico Con Alex 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bean Pole 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Hashtag Winning 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Iywaan 1.80 3.2 6-1
7 6 Cape Lookout 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Campari 20.00 4 8-1
6 5 Gio Dude 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Always Forgiven 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Souper Catch 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Still Doing Time 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 4 Thunder Boss 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 6 R B’s Star 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Jaimie’s Warrior 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Six o’Clock Sarah 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 3 Petition Prayer 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Magic in Me 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Clouds of White 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Whiteknuckleflyer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Pay the Kid 3.00 3.6 7-1
11 6 Mo American 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Fused 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 4 Mint Game 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 3 Mister Frank’s Way 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 2 I’ve Gotta Plan 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Bold Trek 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cark 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Claw 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Officer Country 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Stringfella 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Leading Factor 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ghost Stalker 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Sir Lenny 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Miami Mumbles 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Spitball 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Roaring River 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Percher 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sheriff Chip 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hazels Little Man 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cooke Brothers 1.40 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sing a Verse 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Dream d’Oro 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Frankee Merch 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Outside the Box 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Justice of War 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Gator Fifty Two 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rather Nosy 1.40 1.6 3-1
5 5 Decoupage 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Virginia Beach 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gifted Heart 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Phantom Shot 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 S W Briar Rose 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 8 Tradition 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 5 Jestful 3.00 6 11-1
4 4 Papa Lew 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Grecian Pharoah 6.00 7.1 13-1
9 6 Goldie’s Boy 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Roy G. Biv 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 7 Grey Giant 12.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Bridge of Hope 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sam in Style 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Honey Island 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Vlajko 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Leave ‘Em Loaded 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Fading Scars 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Malibu Heaven 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rip It 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Royalian 15.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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