Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 2, 2021

July 2, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thisladyis the Law 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Miss Alex 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Shining Colors 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 My Little Lulu 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lass 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tiz Her Way 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 D’vinicris 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Papa Smooth 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 The Great Gazoo 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Distractandattack 1.80 4.3 8-1
2 2 Marc’s Humor 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Damilano 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Napoleon Complex 20.00 6 11-1
10 9 On Our Way Boyz 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Chain Breaker 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Mommie’s Jewel 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Runabout 1.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Heavy Roller 0.80 2.8 5-1
4 3 Hooray for Harvey 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hawaiian Noises 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Blugrascat’s Smile 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 King of American 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Pier Forty 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Tapalist 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Revenio 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Beach Front 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Beatthatflew 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Anzio Beach 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Fleetridge 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Run Curtis Run 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 5 Raw Courage 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Surprise Boss 5.00 3 6-1
6 4 Pickering Circle 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Khali’s Dream 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Heart of Savino 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Red Jet 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Achilles Heel 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 No Time Alone 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Boriman 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Tapple Cider 4.50 3.4 7-1
11 7 Raffinity 2.00 3.5 7-1
7 5 Cali Fitz 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 6 A Bit o’Irish Sass 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 1 Epona’s Dream 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 4 Holy Breeze 10.00 6 11-1
5 3 Candy Monet 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Caumsett 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Dancing Firefly 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 La Victoria 3.50 SCRATCH
10 7 Road to Remember 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Kid Bourbon 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 2 Uncle Moonlight 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Parade Field 4.50 3 6-1
4 3 Liam’s Fire 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 5 Fingal 8.00 5.9 11-1
1A 1 F F Rocket 3.00 SCRATCH
6A 6 Brilliant Brooks 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Irish Giant 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Screamin’ By 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 3 Mischievous Dream 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 5 Kokopelli 1.80 5 9-1
8 4 The Important One 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 2 Dublinornothin 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Purrageous Dyna 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Silky Blue 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Courageous Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fight On Lucy 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Diva Banker 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Betsy Blue 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Mo Faith 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Ghost Giant 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 6 Klickitat 3.50 5.9 11-1
7 5 Good Old Boy 3.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Cold Hard Cash 4.50 6.4 12-1
4 3 Somethingtotellyou 6.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 Quiet Out East 15.00 8.5 16-1
10 8 Nutzforboltz 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 On the Couch 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Call Me Harry 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Three Jokers 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Danebury 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Too Early 1.60 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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