July 2, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thisladyis the Law | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Alex | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shining Colors | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Lulu | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lass | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Her Way | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D’vinicris | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Smooth | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Gazoo | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Distractandattack | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marc’s Humor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Damilano | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Napoleon Complex | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | On Our Way Boyz | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chain Breaker | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mommie’s Jewel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Runabout | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavy Roller | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hooray for Harvey | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Noises | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of American | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pier Forty | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapalist | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revenio | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beach Front | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beatthatflew | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anzio Beach | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleetridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Run Curtis Run | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Raw Courage | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Surprise Boss | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pickering Circle | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Khali’s Dream | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Heart of Savino | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Red Jet | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Achilles Heel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No Time Alone | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Boriman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Tapple Cider | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Raffinity | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cali Fitz | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Epona’s Dream | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Holy Breeze | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Candy Monet | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caumsett | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Firefly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | La Victoria | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Road to Remember | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Kid Bourbon | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Moonlight | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Parade Field | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Fingal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | F F Rocket | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Brilliant Brooks | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Irish Giant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Screamin’ By | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mischievous Dream | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Kokopelli | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | The Important One | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Dublinornothin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrageous Dyna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silky Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fight On Lucy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Diva Banker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Betsy Blue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Mo Faith | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Klickitat | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Good Old Boy | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cold Hard Cash | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Somethingtotellyou | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Quiet Out East | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Couch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Harry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Three Jokers | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Danebury | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Too Early | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.