June 26, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Charlo | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kingsbury Dream | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Launch Away | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rank and File | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Manhattan Legacy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lion Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dick the Bruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Oh Say (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Richiesgotgame | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bryce Canyon | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Navy Seal | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frontier Charlie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Clarestown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Sport | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Masamune | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | President Elect | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Say No | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game Boy Benny | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Signs | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smack | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unburnt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imbued | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zawadi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Solution | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Halo | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sequaya | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jane’s Gold Tour | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Varsity Flygirl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Sanctuary | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tough to Tame | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Timer | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Degree of Risk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Unpredictable Bay | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sport Pepper | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roger McQueen | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | High On Sugar | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | P H Factor | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | And Won | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Antrim’s Giant | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Perfectly Majestic | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Christian C | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half of Manhattan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fade Away | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Tan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Here Comes Kyle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hanshin Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Betwithbothhands | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Lemon Kick | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Guest Suite | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Captivating Moon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | What’s Up Dude | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Richiesinthehouse | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Background | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bizzee Channel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wile E Peyote | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Chicago S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Amazima | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She Can’t Sing | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dreamalildreamofu | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Our Bay B Ruth | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Abby Hatcher (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mariafoot (FR) | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ambassador Luna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Compelling Smile | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mind Out | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Club Car | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | W W Fitzy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.