June 24, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Sassy Melissa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Appreciate | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ginger Kitty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quantitativbreezin | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jades Gelly | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chloe Rose | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Theory | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tony’s Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quasar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sand and Sea | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Ave Girl | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Farewell | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Venus Oyzo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mun Luv | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firing Carol | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Digital Future | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Big Grey | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everesting | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King James | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Law | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Smitty Run | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kentucky Knight | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Afleeting Glance | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make Or Break | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irresistible Girl | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Paynt | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey It’s Tati | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stay Home Mama | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rosies Surprise | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magicallydelicious | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Regal Speaker | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Golden Door | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Western Advantage | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Point Him Out | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Simply | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Matty’s Express | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Agent Creed | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Last Ace | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiergan | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Theodora Grace | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Write This Down | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Merry Maiden | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Undetectable | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kaz’s Princess | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Constitutionalrage | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not a Trace | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Bliss | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethel’s Doctorate | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Ms Scarlet | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Lullaby | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bella Principessa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tales of Makenna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mia Calia | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 6 | Violent Trick | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Viradia | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daria’s Angel | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Customerexperience | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mongolian Humor | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pecan Pattie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Catch a Bid | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Robin Sparkles | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jakarta | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Call On Mischief | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Karak | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unique Factor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Castle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Barre | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Taffy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boomkittybyebye | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Prairie Tales | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Masu | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Promised Road | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fastelle | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stoney’s Due | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mazal Eighteen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Reeley Psyched | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mill Stone Creek | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roxen | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shea On a Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | New York Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Happy Hill Lil | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.