June 24, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | America’s Queen | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Release the Heat | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnitude Ten | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Maggie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superstar Diva | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Magna | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Yalikeanything | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Theatre | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dynablue | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lowcountry | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Champion | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Baseball Politics | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Stormy Pacific | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Road Game | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J Z’s Last Try | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southsider | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Offlee Fun | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nyoman | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeleys Ice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Earl | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Finn | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Souper Highvoltage | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gumwrapper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Generaciones | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dive Deep | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demand Ransom | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fixico | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kosher Cowboy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rave On | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Better Think Twice | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Richy | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poquito Man | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Feather | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line of Gold | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Story | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Princess Tine (FR) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Peace Nicker | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Twelve Red Roses | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nurse Sadie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Dams Atitude | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plants and Birds | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Spy a Star | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Self | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Brexit | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slime Queen | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fate Factor | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naval Laughter | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Judy’s Way | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indicia | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Myth | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Tap the Mojo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Curlington | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | High Spirits | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Green Mo’ster | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Frankincense | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tornado Boy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Overpraise | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dramatic Kitten | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Policy Option | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Inclusive | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frontana | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dewy’s Hit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.