June 20, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Solution | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Glance | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Dancer | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Rules | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Next Time You Win | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chocolate Bunny | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tea After Ballet | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maga Country | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Easton Rocks | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rocket Ride | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Springtime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tap It Over | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bells of Joy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stacy Attack | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | U Can Do It | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joan’s Way | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spy a Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Backside Beauty | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Me too Mo | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arbitrary | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lipliner | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ozette | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizaladybug | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unlimiteddataplan | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Atlantic | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Bobby Baby | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mark of the Z | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Malpais | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Spring | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sniper Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fulco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Paulette | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dance the Day Away | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Chick | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Close to Me | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Satiate | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Interest | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chlobee | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ah Leah | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zip Attack Baby | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Locash | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aka Lioness | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoodwink | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alotmoreaction | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irina’s Hero | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cat Attack | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Music City Star | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Someone Said So | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Band Luzziann | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Stella (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jolina | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Merry Prankster | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Covenant Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.